Methodology guide for model outputs, decision gates, and settlement handling
The methodology route describes how raw model probabilities become public cards. It covers feature context, probability blending, market comparison, policy gates, and the reasons a row can stay public, downgrade to watch, or become no-bet.
Readers should use this page when they want the process view: what information feeds the board, which safeguards override pure model preference, and how settlement or archive records should be interpreted after the fact.
Methodology topics
- Probability generation, calibration, and competition-aware context completeness checks.
- Decision gates for drift, model disagreement, market freshness, and operator readiness.
- Settlement and archive rules that keep public records traceable after publication.
Companion references
- Use Data Sources for provenance and refresh expectations.
- Use Insights for longer-form examples of how these rules behave in practice.
Interactive navigation, filters, and richer tables become available after JavaScript loads, but this summary preserves the core route context.
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